Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 37% probability that Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals?. This contract trades at 37¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with Colorado priced at 0¢ despite a 43¢ spread and astronomical 19,966% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the No contract is severely undervalued.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with Colorado priced at 0¢ despite a 43¢ spread and astronomical 19,966% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the No contract is severely undervalued. The complete absence of volume and open interest ($0 each) indicates illiquidity, while the 4,677% realized volatility and Cliff Risk Index of 10 signal this is a highly unstable, potentially broken market. With only 18 days to expiry and the underlying game already past its original April 23 date, this appears to be a stale or misconfigured contract that may not resolve properly.
Resolution rules
If Colorado wins by over 1.5 goals in the Colorado at Los Angeles professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR23COLLA-COL1 yes 100