Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals?
Prediction markets currently give a 34% probability that Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals?. This contract trades at 34¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market exhibits extreme pricing dysfunction with Minnesota's win-by-over-1.5-goals contract trading at 0¢ despite a 55¢ bid-ask spread and zero liquidity (no 24h volume or open interest), suggesting the contract may be effectively dead or mispriced.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme pricing dysfunction with Minnesota's win-by-over-1.5-goals contract trading at 0¢ despite a 55¢ bid-ask spread and zero liquidity (no 24h volume or open interest), suggesting the contract may be effectively dead or mispriced. The astronomical 34,047% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the near-zero price rather than a genuine opportunity, while the 2,163% realized volatility and high cliff risk (19) indicate severe market instability. With the underlying game originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 but the market not closing until May 9, 2026, there's potential confusion about whether this contract is even still active or if the game has already been played.
Resolution rules
If Minnesota wins by over 1.5 goals in the Dallas at Minnesota professional hockey game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLSPREAD-26APR25DALMIN-MIN1 yes 100