Will JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
Prediction markets currently give a 7% probability that Will JD Vance and Sarah Huckabee Sanders be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?. This contract trades at 7¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $100 open interest, paired with an unusually wide 85¢ spread that suggests minimal price discovery.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $100 open interest, paired with an unusually wide 85¢ spread that suggests minimal price discovery. The 7% probability appears artificially depressed given Vance's current position as Vice President-elect, making the 519.7% implied yield on "Yes" potentially attractive but highly speculative given the thin order book and 933 days to resolution. The neutral regime score and flat 7-day price action indicate this contract hasn't attracted meaningful trader attention despite its relevance to near-term political developments.
Resolution rules
If the Republican presidential nominee is JD Vance AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Sarah Huckabee Sanders in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXRTICKET-28NOV07-JVANSSAN yes 100