Will Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Donald Trump Jr. and Marco Rubio be the 2028 Republican Presidential ticket?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing November 7, 2028. This market shows zero liquidity with no open interest or 24-hour volume, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—it likely reflects a default floor rather than genuine market consensus.
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no open interest or 24-hour volume, making the 0¢ price essentially meaningless—it likely reflects a default floor rather than genuine market consensus. The extreme 1265.4% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of illiquid binary markets where even minimal positions create outsized percentage returns, while the 32 Cliff Risk Index suggests high sensitivity to small price movements. With 933 days to expiration, this market is too early-stage and too thin to provide reliable probability signals on a Trump Jr.-Rubio ticket scenario.
Resolution rules
If the Republican presidential nominee is Donald Trump Jr. AND the Republican vice presidential nominee is Marco Rubio in the 2028 presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXRTICKET-28NOV07-DTJRMRUB yes 100