Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Question 1

What is the current probability for "Will Bradley Barcola leave PSG before Sep 15, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This prediction market is currently priced at 26¢ (26% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on September 15, 2026. 144 days remaining.

Question 2

What is the implied yield on "Will Bradley Barcola leave PSG before Sep 15, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1234.5% and 51.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Question 3

Where can I trade "Will Bradley Barcola leave PSG before Sep 15, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1234.5%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	51.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	617%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	6.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Will Bradley Barcola leave PSG before Sep 15, 2026?

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions