Will Tim Jackson win Best Direction of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?
This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$46
Best sibling
Michael Arden 14¢
Ticker
KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-TIM
Market snapshot
Tim Jackson in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Tim Jackson win Best Direction of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $2. In the KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Tim Jackson
Family rank
#3 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
16¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$2
Family context
6 outcomes · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM
Quote range
1¢-65¢
Family leader
Zhailon Levingston and Bill Rauch 65¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC · 1m ago
Venue identifier: KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-TIM. Family volume: $46.
Price history
16¢ current
−29¢Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Tim Jackson has won Best Direction of a Musical at the 79th Tony Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-TIM
Event family
KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$46
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Zhailon Levingston and Bill Rauch 65¢
Current share
4%
Tim Jackson
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-TIM
Michael Arden
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-MIC
Lear deBessonet
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-LEA
Zhailon Levingston and Bill Rauch
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-ZHA
Christopher Gattelli
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-CHR
Tie
kalshi · KXTONYAWARDS-26BDOAM-TIE
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.