SimpleFunctions

HamKam to win Aalesund vs HamKam

HamKam is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Aalesund vs HamKam Winner.

Price history

29¢ current

+8¢
20¢30¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If HamKam wins the Aalesund vs HamKam professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

HamKam

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Aalesund 45¢

Range

25¢-45¢

Family volume

$93

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29AFKHAK-HAK

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

28¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$85

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Aalesund vs HamKam Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$93

Orderbook snapshot

28 / 29¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
28¢1.0K
27¢208
26¢1.3K
25¢1.3K
24¢285
AskSize
29¢1.0K
30¢954
31¢1.8K
32¢709
33¢285

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If HamKam wins the Aalesund vs HamKam professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29AFKHAK-HAK

SF Signal
SF Index
6294.49
Regime
neutral

Event family

Aalesund vs HamKam Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$93

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Aalesund 45¢

Current share

92%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6294.5%

IY (No)

951.9%

Adj IY

6294%

CRI

3

RV

276%

VR

0.33

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6294.5%
951.9%
Adj IY
6294%
3
RV
276%
VR
0.33
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.