SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Aalesund vs HamKam

Tie is priced at 25¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Aalesund vs HamKam Winner.

Price history

25¢ current

+8¢
20¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Aalesund vs HamKam professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Aalesund 45¢

Range

25¢-45¢

Family volume

$93

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29AFKHAK-TIE

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

25¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

25¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

24h volume

$4

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Aalesund vs HamKam Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$93

Orderbook snapshot

25 / 26¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
25¢1.0K
24¢222
23¢1.3K
22¢1.4K
21¢262
AskSize
26¢1.1K
27¢1.1K
28¢1.7K
29¢739
30¢262

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Aalesund vs HamKam professional Eliteserien soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXELITESERIENGAME-26MAY29AFKHAK-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
7374.73
Regime
neutral

Event family

Aalesund vs HamKam Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$93

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Aalesund 45¢

Current share

4%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7374.7%

IY (No)

819.4%

Adj IY

7375%

CRI

3

RV

390%

VR

0.42

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7374.7%
819.4%
Adj IY
7375%
3
RV
390%
VR
0.42
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.