The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Male Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no nominations are announced by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Ethan Hawke | 100.0% |
Michael B. Jordan | 100.0% |
Timothée Chalamet | 100.0% |
Leonardo DiCaprio | 100.0% |
CurrentJoel Edgerton | 0.1% |
Wagner Moura | 0.1% |