On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16). A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
CurrentMarch 31, 2026 | 18.0% |
August 31 | 0.0% |
September 30 | 0.0% |
October 31 | 0.0% |
December 31 | 0.0% |
November 30 | 0.0% |