SimpleFunctions

Modern to win Al Mokawloon vs Modern

Modern is priced at 28¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 28¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner.

Price history

28¢ current

+9¢
20¢30¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Modern wins the Al Mokawloon vs Modern professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Modern

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Al Mokawloon 38¢

Range

26¢-38¢

Family volume

$130

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29MOKMOD-MOD

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

28¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

28¢

Spread

24h volume

$44

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$130

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 28¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
26¢2.2K
25¢237
24¢3.3K
23¢237
15¢10
AskSize
28¢2.4K
29¢237
30¢2.1K
31¢237
35¢384

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Modern wins the Al Mokawloon vs Modern professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29MOKMOD-MOD

SF Signal
SF Index
7055.94
Regime
neutral

Event family

Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$130

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Al Mokawloon 38¢

Current share

34%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7055.9%

IY (No)

871.0%

Adj IY

7056%

CRI

3

RV

468%

VR

0.52

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7055.9%
871.0%
Adj IY
7056%
3
RV
468%
VR
0.52
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.