SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Al Mokawloon vs Modern

Tie is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 35¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner.

Price history

37¢ current

+10¢
30¢40¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Al Mokawloon vs Modern professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Al Mokawloon 38¢

Range

26¢-38¢

Family volume

$130

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29MOKMOD-TIE

May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

34¢

Ask

35¢

Spread

24h volume

$3

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Family volume

$130

Orderbook snapshot

34 / 35¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
34¢220
33¢2.2K
32¢232
31¢2.2K
30¢833
AskSize
35¢2.2K
37¢2.2K
38¢242
39¢642
40¢221

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Al Mokawloon vs Modern professional Egyptian Premier League soccer game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 12, 2026

Identifier

KXEGYPLGAME-26MAY29MOKMOD-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
3240.35
Regime
neutral

Event family

Al Mokawloon vs Modern Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$130

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Al Mokawloon 38¢

Current share

2%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4812.4%

IY (No)

1277.1%

Adj IY

3240%

CRI

2

RV

147%

VR

0.20

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4812.4%
1277.1%
Adj IY
3240%
2
RV
147%
VR
0.20
IAR
0.2/h
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.