Austria to win Algeria vs Austria
Austria is priced at 53¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 55¢ ask, 23¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Algeria vs Austria Winner.
Price history
53¢ current
+27¢Contract brief
If Austria wins the Algeria vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Austria
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Austria 32¢
Range
20¢-32¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27DZAAUT-AUT
May 24, 2026, 12:38 PM UTC · 21m ago
Implied probability
Bid
32¢
Ask
55¢
Spread
23¢
Reported volume
$205
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Algeria vs Austria Winner
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
32 / 55¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Austria wins the Algeria vs Austria professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 27, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 12, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN27DZAAUT-AUT
Event family
Algeria vs Austria Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Austria 32¢
Current share
—
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.