SimpleFunctions

Amanda Serrano to win Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson

Amanda Serrano is priced at 94¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 93¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson Winner.

Price history

94¢ current

+91¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 23, 2026May 26, 2026

Contract brief

If Amanda Serrano wins the Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Amanda Serrano

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Amanda Serrano 93¢

Range

6¢-93¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30SERRANHANSON-SERRAN

May 28, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Implied probability

94¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 23m ago

Bid

93¢

Ask

94¢

Spread

24h volume

$854

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

93 / 94¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
93¢5.9K
90¢10.0K
88¢2
74¢503
73¢1.1K
AskSize
94¢8.6K
95¢6.5K
96¢19K
97¢8.2K
98¢14K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Amanda Serrano wins the Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson boxing match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26MAY30SERRANHANSON-SERRAN

SF Signal
SF Index
14831.43
Regime
neutral

Event family

Amanda Serrano vs Cheyenne Hanson Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Amanda Serrano 93¢

Current share

12%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

168.1%
29662.9%
Adj IY
14831%
13

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.