Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
This contract is priced at 14¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 6¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 16¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$9K
Best sibling
Gachiakuta 16¢
Ticker
0xb4563c86…f68e
Market snapshot
Takopi's Original Sin in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?. The displayed quote is 14¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $357. In the Anime Awards: Best Animation Winner family, this outcome ranks #5 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC.
Outcome
Takopi's Original Sin
Family rank
#5 of 6
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
14¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 23, 2026
Reported volume
$357
Family context
6 outcomes · Anime Awards: Best Animation Winner
Quote range
9¢-54¢
Family leader
DAN DA DAN Season 2 54¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0xb4563c861c061cc38a1ac28b6f7f570ac95d3f98715c4e982e88e364d3a3f68e. Family volume: $9K.
Price history
14¢ current
−5¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 22¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards are scheduled to occur in Japan on May 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed title that wins the award for Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed title which comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the broadcast of the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards and the official Crunchyroll website (https://www.crunchyroll.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 23, 2026
Identifier
0xb4563c86…f68e
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 4¢, +10¢ versus this page.
Event family
Anime Awards: Best Animation Winner.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$9K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
DAN DA DAN Season 2 54¢
Current share
4%
Takopi's Original Sin
polymarket · 0xb4563c861c061cc38a1ac28b6f7f570ac95d3f98715c4e982e88e364d3a3f68e
Gachiakuta
polymarket · 0xf8fee5391348152f26f41b4f6ecb311ed0758a9bdef934413828dfb87717a414
My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON
polymarket · 0x66e48ab4857e6410d4fdbdd026d0060bdcc0135986d91a05c40bc77be1c18470
DAN DA DAN Season 2
polymarket · 0x384675ee254a6707f44a591ed7054ae480296dbb29fc7d8e5d0757b8786639e3
ONE PIECE
polymarket · 0xbb94c9f55ee4b583e1d3437c070995ffde132a6a89f602f7a8e28fcc1297a3e0
Solo Leveling Season 2 -Arise from the Shadow-
polymarket · 0x564eebe3d2d3797d0bf110a8352fc7ad83bcafe2fc96f72fc6365e1e766abd06
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens
Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.