Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?
This contract is priced at 7¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 6¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$10K
Best sibling
25-29.9% 33¢
Ticker
0x9caf1723…164e
Market snapshot
<20% in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Will Argentina’s annual inflation be less than 20%?. The displayed quote is 7¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $8. In the Argentina Annual Inflation 2026 family, this outcome ranks #7 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
<20%
Family rank
#7 of 7
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
7¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 10, 2027
24h volume
$8
Family context
7 outcomes · Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
Quote range
7¢-37¢
Family leader
30.0-34.9% 37¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 9:23 AM UTC · 13m ago
Venue identifier: 0x9caf172337fa494c65ffb9d2f2241b9dce1ffa222efb681c959abcdd74ec164e. Family volume: $10K.
Price history
7¢ current
−9¢Orderbook snapshot
4 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina. This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report. The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 10, 2027
Identifier
0x9caf1723…164e
Event family
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
30.0-34.9% 37¢
Current share
26%
<20%
polymarket · 0x9caf172337fa494c65ffb9d2f2241b9dce1ffa222efb681c959abcdd74ec164e
25-29.9%
polymarket · 0x4ea5177566bdb21120d0e511fb37b33e8f5b1249f76c5fcdd8ef8d7a41817f45
20-24.9%
polymarket · 0x0256fee8c98ffd1dc894d310a772cfcd9ca0095f3f584c86c991d59ec6004091
45%+
polymarket · 0x444cb85ce07d3fb4e7628e9eb5d53d66da6211b8edbb608fac736b7b06addfa9
35–39.9%
polymarket · 0x7a73d26a08dd80c28dae88d2efb2199a54b48815f846cb16b2dd88ba69493a91
30.0-34.9%
polymarket · 0xdfd83fe76d9fc1d00e961f9ae72e6f41f10e682ef9a913d090d757becd458bcb
40-44.9%
polymarket · 0xd7c034efdfa0017c8ace417bd3e830d5ed3cea79ac756b704762530e18c80263
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
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