SimpleFunctions

Will Edoardo Molinari make the cut for Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol

Edoardo Molinari is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 77¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol.

Price history

37¢ current

+34¢
0¢25¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Edoardo Molinari has made the cut at the 2026 Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Edoardo Molinari

Rank

#4 of 16

Leader

Johannes Veerman 58¢

Range

2¢-58¢

Family volume

$523

Identifier

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-EMOL

May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Implied probability

37¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 30m ago

Bid

22¢

Ask

99¢

Spread

77¢

24h volume

$30

Family rank

#4 of 16

16 outcomes · Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$523

Orderbook snapshot

22 / 99¢

Kalshi
77¢ spread
BidSize
22¢20
21¢10
AskSize
99¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Edoardo Molinari has made the cut at the 2026 Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-EMOL

SF Signal
SF Index
4840.69
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4840.7%

IY (No)

302.5%

Adj IY

4841%

CRI

4

RV

24473%

VR

4.83

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4840.7%
302.5%
Adj IY
4841%
4
RV
24473%
VR
4.83
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
27.7%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.