Will Rikuya Hoshino make the cut for Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol
Rikuya Hoshino is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 16 inside Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol.
Price history
57¢ current
+54¢Contract brief
If Rikuya Hoshino has made the cut at the 2026 Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rikuya Hoshino
Rank
#4 of 16
Leader
Johannes Veerman 58¢
Range
2¢-58¢
Family volume
$503
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-RHOS
May 28, 2026, 7:38 PM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
76¢
24h volume
$88
Family rank
#4 of 16
16 outcomes · Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Family volume
$503
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rikuya Hoshino has made the cut at the 2026 Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 28, 2026
Identifier
KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-RHOS
Event family
Austrian Alpine Open presented by Kitzbühel Tirol.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$503
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Johannes Veerman 58¢
Current share
17%
Johannes Veerman
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-JVEE
Lucas Bjerregaard
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-LBJE
Brandon Robinson-Thompson
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-BROB
Rikuya Hoshino
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-RHOS
Edoardo Molinari
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-EMOL
Angel Hidalgo
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-AHID
Benjamin Schmidt
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-BSCH
Casey Jarvis
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-CJAR
Hunter Logan
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-HLOG
Michael Hollick
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-MHOL
Niklas Lemke
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-NLEM
Andres Gallegos
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-AGAL
Gavin Green
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-GGRE
Lukas Boandl
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-LBOA
Mike Toorop
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-MTOO
Alexander Kopp
kalshi · KXDPWORLDTOURMAKECUT-AUAOPBKT26-AKOP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.