This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Based's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Based (https://x.com/BasedOneX) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
$100M | 56.0% |
$200M | 27.5% |
$300M | 14.5% |
Current$500M | 3.3% |
$800M | 2.6% |
$1B | 1.3% |
$3B | 0.7% |
$2B | 0.4% |
$4B | 0.4% |