This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Designated Contract Market (DCM) self-certifies sports-related event-based contracts with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) at any point before March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information released by the CFTC or the respective DCM; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Aristotle | 69.5% |
ICE | 67.5% |
Small Exchange | 64.5% |
CurrentThe Clearing Company | 50.1% |
CME | 50.0% |
CBOE | 39.5% |
Railbird | 25.0% |
LedgerX | 24.0% |
ForecastEx | 20.5% |