General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Elections Jury of Peru (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones) (portal.jne.gob.pe/portal).
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Rafael López Aliaga | 42.0% |
Keiko Fujimori | 13.0% |
Alfonso López Chau | 10.1% |
José Williams | 9.5% |
Carlos Álvarez | 6.8% |
Carlos Espá | 4.2% |
Yonhy Lescano | 2.5% |
Roberto Sánchez Palomino | 2.1% |
CurrentRafael Belaúnde Llosa | 1.9% |
Fernando Olivera | 1.8% |
Marisol Pérez Tello | 1.8% |
Roberto Chiabra | 1.6% |
Ricardo Belmont | 1.5% |
José Luna | 1.5% |
Mario Vizcarra | 1.3% |
George Forsyth | 1.3% |
César Acuña | 1.1% |
Vladimir Cerrón | 0.9% |
Mesías Guevara | 0.7% |
Enrique Valderrama | 0.7% |
Fiorella Molinelli | 0.6% |
Jorge Nieto | 0.4% |
Candidate Z | 0.0% |
Candidate D | 0.0% |
Candidate E | 0.0% |
Candidate F | 0.0% |
Candidate G | 0.0% |
Candidate H | 0.0% |
Candidate I | 0.0% |
Candidate J | 0.0% |
Candidate K | 0.0% |
Candidate L | 0.0% |
Candidate M | 0.0% |
Candidate N | 0.0% |
Candidate O | 0.0% |
Candidate P | 0.0% |
Candidate Q | 0.0% |
Candidate R | 0.0% |
Candidate S | 0.0% |
Candidate T | 0.0% |
Candidate U | 0.0% |
Candidate V | 0.0% |
Candidate W | 0.0% |
Candidate X | 0.0% |
Candidate Y | 0.0% |
Other | 0.0% |
Candidate A | 0.0% |
Candidate B | 0.0% |
Candidate C | 0.0% |