This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (aged 16+) reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the Labour Force Survey for November 2025. The resolution source for this market is the Employment in the U.K. release, published by the ONS every month at https://www.ons.gov.uk/. The next data release is scheduled for December 16, 2025. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. If no data for November is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
5.1% | 95.2% |
≤4.9% | 7.5% |
Current5.0% | 2.5% |
5.2% | 0.5% |
5.3% | 0.5% |