Tie to win Belgium vs Egypt
Tie is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 22¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Belgium vs Egypt Winner.
Price history
24¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
If Tie wins the Belgium vs Egypt professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Tie
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Belgium 58¢
Range
16¢-58¢
Family volume
$207
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN15BELEGY-TIE
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
22¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$17
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Belgium vs Egypt Winner
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Family volume
$207
Orderbook snapshot
22 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie wins the Belgium vs Egypt professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 29, 2026
Identifier
KXWCGAME-26JUN15BELEGY-TIE
Event family
Belgium vs Egypt Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$207
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Belgium 58¢
Current share
8%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.