The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed track that wins Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed track that comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Luther - Kendrick Lamar and SZA | 49.5% |
APT - Rosé and Bruno Mars | 17.0% |
Abracadabra - Lady Gaga | 15.5% |
DTMF - Bad Bunny | 12.5% |
Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter | 4.7% |
Wildflower - Billie Eilish | 3.6% |
Anxiety - Doechii | 2.8% |
The Subway - Chappell Roan | 0.7% |
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CurrentPlaceholder x by TBD Artist | 0.0% |
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Other - Various | 0.0% |
Placeholder c - TBD Artist | 0.0% |
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Timeless - The Weeknd feat. Playboi Carti | 0.0% |
Sorry I’m Here for Someone Else - Benson Boone | 0.0% |
BMF - SZA | 0.0% |
Never Too Late - Elton John and Brandi Carlile | 0.0% |
DAISIES - Justin Bieber | 0.0% |
All My Love - Coldplay | 0.0% |
That's So True - Gracie Abrams | 0.0% |
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