Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
This contract is priced at 44¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 43¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$3.2M
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x9345d514…588a
Market snapshot
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Polymarket contract for Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?. The displayed quote is 44¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $229. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC.
Outcome
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Polymarket
Current quote
44¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2026
24h volume
$229
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:53 AM UTC · 11m ago
Venue identifier: 0x9345d5142a67f5541264c96515496affee02580f1c572680759eac9fd2a1588a. Family volume: $3.2M.
Price history
44¢ current
+7¢Orderbook snapshot
43 / 44¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
A one-time wealth tax on billionaires has been proposed to potentially appear on California's ballot for the November 3, 2026 general election. You can read more about that here: https://6abc.com/post/california-union-proposes-taxing-billionaires-offset-medicaid-cuts-low-income-people/18066430/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Nov 3, 2026
Identifier
0x9345d514…588a
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 90¢, -46¢ versus this page.
Event family
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$3.2M
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026 44¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
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