SimpleFunctions

$73,000 or above · Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $

$73,000 or above is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 57¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #8 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $.

Price history

57¢ current

+5¢
50¢60¢
May 29, 2026May 30, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 72999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$73,000 or above

Rank

#8 of 16

Leader

$61,000 or above 99¢

Range

4¢-99¢

Family volume

$130K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T72999.99

May 30, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

57¢
Latest venue quote
May 30, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

57¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

24h volume

$7K

Family rank

#8 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $

Closes

Jun 5, 2026

Family volume

$130K

Orderbook snapshot

57 / 59¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
57¢177
56¢2.2K
55¢6.5K
52¢63
51¢300
AskSize
59¢1
60¢3.2K
61¢5.6K
63¢300
69¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 72999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 5, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T72999.99

SF Signal
SF Index
7035.88
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4226.4%

IY (No)

7426.5%

Adj IY

7036%

CRI

1

RV

487%

VR

0.75

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4226.4%
7426.5%
Adj IY
7036%
1
RV
487%
VR
0.75
IAR
2.2/h
Overround
17.1%
LAS
0.05

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.