$74,000 or above · Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $
$74,000 or above is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 46¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $.
Price history
43¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 73999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$74,000 or above
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
$61,000 or above 99¢
Range
4¢-99¢
Family volume
$130K
Identifier
KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T73999.99
May 30, 2026, 8:38 AM UTC · 10m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
46¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$11K
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $
Closes
Jun 5, 2026
Family volume
$130K
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 46¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 73999.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 5, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T73999.99
Event family
Bitcoin price on Jun 5, 2026?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$130K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$61,000 or above 99¢
Current share
8%
$61,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T60999.99
$68,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T67999.99
$69,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T69499.99
$70,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T69999.99
$70,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T70499.99
$71,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T71499.99
$72,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T72499.99
$73,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T72999.99
$73,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T73499.99
$74,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T73999.99
$74,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T74499.99
$76,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T75999.99
$76,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T76499.99
$77,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T76999.99
$78,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T77999.99
$78,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26JUN0517-T78499.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.625
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.