Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026?
This contract is priced at 5¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$10K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXBTCD-26MAY1417-T81749.99
Market snapshot
Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026?. The displayed quote is 5¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $10K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 14, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
5¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 14, 2026
24h volume
$10K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 14, 2026, 9:08 AM UTC · 18m ago
Venue identifier: KXBTCD-26MAY1417-T81749.99. Family volume: $10K.
Price history
5¢ current
−2¢Orderbook snapshot
5 / 6¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 81749.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 14, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCD-26MAY1417-T81749.99
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$10K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026 5¢
Current share
100%
Bitcoin price on May 14, 2026
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY1417-T81749.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 5% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.