SimpleFunctions

$66,000 or above · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $

$66,000 or above is priced at 98¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 98¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $.

Price history

98¢ current

+96¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 22, 2026May 25, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 65999.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$66,000 or above

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

$66,000 or above 98¢

Range

3¢-98¢

Family volume

$206K

Identifier

KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T65999.99

May 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 42m ago

Implied probability

98¢
Latest venue quote
May 25, 2026, 4:38 AM UTC · 42m ago

Bid

98¢

Ask

100¢

Spread

24h volume

$188

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $

Closes

May 29, 2026

Family volume

$206K

Orderbook snapshot

98 / 100¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
98¢267
97¢6.6K
79¢982
78¢1.5K
77¢2.1K
AskSize

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 65999.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 29, 2026

Identifier

KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T65999.99

SF Signal
SF Index
97940.00
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

32

VR

8.29

IAR

0.3/h

Overround

19.2%

LAS

0.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

32
VR
8.29
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
19.2%
LAS
0.02

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.