$79,500 or above · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $
$79,500 or above is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 21¢ bid, 23¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #12 of 16 inside Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $.
Price history
19¢ current
+7¢Contract brief
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
$79,500 or above
Rank
#12 of 16
Leader
$73,000 or above 89¢
Range
1¢-89¢
Family volume
$285K
Identifier
KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79499.99
May 24, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
21¢
Ask
23¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$12K
Family rank
#12 of 16
16 outcomes · Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $
Closes
May 29, 2026
Family volume
$285K
Orderbook snapshot
21 / 23¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 79499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 29, 2026
Identifier
KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79499.99
Event family
Bitcoin price on May 29, 2026?: $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$285K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
$73,000 or above 89¢
Current share
4%
$73,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T72999.99
$74,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T74499.99
$75,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T74999.99
$75,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T75499.99
$76,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T75999.99
$76,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T76499.99
$77,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T76999.99
$77,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T77499.99
$78,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T77999.99
$78,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78499.99
$79,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T78999.99
$79,500 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79499.99
$80,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T79999.99
$81,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T80999.99
$82,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T81999.99
$84,000 or above
kalshi · KXBTCD-26MAY2917-T83999.99
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
How Bitcoin & Ethereum Crypto 2026 Price Prediction Markets Are Pricing the Next Leg of the Cycle
Deep-dive for crypto investors and traders into Bitcoin and Ethereum 2026 price prediction markets. Learn how BTC/ETH halving base rates, ETF flows, DeFi/L2 growth, and global regulation shape market-implied odds for 2026 price targets.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
MCP Servers for Prediction Markets: Connect Claude Code to Kalshi and Polymarket
Connect Claude Code, Cursor, or Cline to Kalshi and Polymarket prediction markets via MCP. One-line setup, 18 tools, real-time market data for AI agents.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
Volatility Arbitrage in Prediction Markets: Why Political Favorites Above 60¢ Are Systematically Underconfident
A binary contract at price p has variance p(1-p). Le 2026 (292M trades) finds political markets underconfident at slopes 0.93-1.83 — meaning a 70¢ contract corresponds to a true probability near 83%. Four systematic vol-arb trades follow from the calibration evidence.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.