SimpleFunctions

Boston to win Boston vs Cleveland

Boston is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 49¢ bid, 51¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Boston vs Cleveland Winner.

Price history

51¢ current

+9¢
40¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Boston wins the Boston vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Boston

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Boston 49¢

Range

49¢-49¢

Family volume

$1K

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY291910BOSCLE-BOS

May 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Implied probability

51¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 17m ago

Bid

49¢

Ask

51¢

Spread

24h volume

$396

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Boston vs Cleveland Winner

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Family volume

$1K

Orderbook snapshot

49 / 51¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
49¢197
48¢120
47¢120
46¢14
45¢1.2K
AskSize
51¢226
52¢1.9K
53¢1.7K
54¢2.5K
55¢261

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Boston wins the Boston vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY291910BOSCLE-BOS

SF Signal
SF Index
7691.80
Regime
neutral

Event family

Boston vs Cleveland Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$1K

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Boston 49¢

Current share

28%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

1

VR

1.11

IAR

0.5/h

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1
VR
1.11
IAR
0.5/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.