Botafogo vs Internacional Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Botafogo vs Internacional Winner?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 77¢ spread, suggesting the contract may be mispriced or inactive.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 9/11¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $77,262.75·OI $64,299.21·Closes May 9, 2026·14d remaining
KXBRASILEIROGAME-26APR25BOTINT-BOT
7-day price118 snapshots · 25 regime
73¢18¢ current
Apr 183¢Apr 25

Analysis

7d ago

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 77¢ spread, suggesting the contract may be mispriced or inactive. The astronomical implied yield of 40,133.8% on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the 0¢ price is likely a stale quote rather than a genuine market level. With only 22 days until expiry and the original match date already passed (April 25, 2026), there's significant cliff risk (index of 24) that this contract may resolve based on historical data or be delisted if the match details cannot be verified.

Resolution rules

If Botafogo wins the Botafogo vs Internacional professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 969.1%
IY (No) 7083.9%
Adj IY 6987%
CRI 3
RV 2714%
VR 4.63
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)969.1%
IY (No)7083.9%
Adj IY6987%
CRI3
RV2714%
VR4.63
IAR0.6/h
Overround-0.0%
LAS0.01

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
2¢
Computed
4/25/2026, 11:20:24 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/25/2026, 11:08:52 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXBRASILEIROGAME-26APR25BOTINT-BOT yes 100

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