Will VfB Stuttgart qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League?
This contract is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 97¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
8
Family volume
$249
Best sibling
FSV Mainz 05 21¢
Ticker
0x395eae45…bd51
Price history
50¢ current
−1¢Orderbook snapshot
1 / 98¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team clinches a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League per UEFA rules. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to clinch a league phase spot in the 2026-27 Europa League (e.g. they cannot mathematically achieve a Europa League place, cannot qualify through play in European or cup competitions, etc.), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2025-26 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or the teams that qualified for the 2026-27 Europa League have not been officially confirmed by UEFA within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA and/or the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Identifier
0x395eae45…bd51
Event family
Bundesliga: Team to qualify for UEFA Europa League.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$249
Outcomes
8
Highest price
VfB Stuttgart 51¢
Current share
0%
VfB Stuttgart
polymarket · 0x395eae45cc29ff915a36871eaa9e6e61aef164b306845d82a69940c802f5bd51
FSV Mainz 05
polymarket · 0x6ee34e67dad26f13c562dbd6aa6ee79f29ebc775a8bf2a81c2176396f866f793
Eintracht Frankfurt
polymarket · 0x2eea1566c303d92664ce8b78ee1d69acf9dd480899c7ebb7370ce69393a23223
FC Augsburg
polymarket · 0x5570e80d2347047ea4727be44e246e40758aa6b5d889b16559a9e781a7f315fc
SC Freiburg
polymarket · 0x27dd0820ca0a13f14eac68fdf3aae6b0a86d91a1176bc3a923db5292350c5d73
TSG Hoffenheim
polymarket · 0x0a04ea4fdecf5e6611335e86891dd6a20cbbac9627c83a1b6c3f622e28f3b24f
Bayer Leverkusen
polymarket · 0xe96877c4c2f2daae8a838536d1be5369a8f46ca9dd054dfe840486f1c6fdf10b
RB Leipzig
polymarket · 0x40b84c5d0ec0d01dd1b6866dc5e3878f31cef8209c6b72604cb7441149222838
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Resolution Risk Premium: Pricing the Rule, Not the Outcome
When the resolution rule is fuzzy, the price is the market's estimate of how the rule will be interpreted, not the outcome's probability. Three case studies and the discount math.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026
Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ
When the Orderbook Is Empty, You Have Information
An empty orderbook is not missing data. It is one of two specific stories — and the second story is the most reliable maker setup I have found on Polymarket.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State
Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 50% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.