This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
June 30, 2026 | 15.0% |
CurrentDecember 31, 2026 | 13.0% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |