This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Consider selling on Kalshi at higher price
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
CurrentDecember 31, 2026 | 17.0% |
June 30, 2026 | 7.5% |
December 31, 2025 | 0.0% |
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| 52.0% |
| $43,984 |
| Trade |
Kalshi | 12.0% | $113 | Trade |