Chris Bennett · CA-03 Primary Winners
Chris Bennett is priced at 8¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 14¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 8 inside CA-03 Primary Winners.
Price history
8¢ current
+2¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Chris Bennett
Rank
#5 of 8
Leader
Ami Bera 95¢
Range
4¢-95¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
0x6b9a06bb...a98a
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
14¢
Reported volume
$281
Family rank
#5 of 8
8 outcomes · CA-03 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 3rd congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0x6b9a06bb…a98a
Event family
CA-03 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Ami Bera 95¢
Current share
6%
Ami Bera
polymarket · 0xf52b770a05bee6bf830e30d547da04c900917d21c3cb8f087e6bf030e416470a
Robb Tucker
polymarket · 0x9818528d28c6d0df2c340bb7dcd3e5ca3a78588dda0b65fb4b4a643e1c218603
Christine Bish
polymarket · 0x1aefad90587d76710cdc5ce7e21b9282821afb9fa8a4e428a0b1c8b73e25d009
Heidi Hall
polymarket · 0x952691f60725bfb003b1f1354b14b73db7103a7e20a918387eff8ae158695080
Chris Bennett
polymarket · 0x6b9a06bb8ffe4c0111add3f353efcd429241a695d4140e811f7d4e06ce3ba98a
Laura Koscki
polymarket · 0x6bf1d90310b4f7a967a6448086b48e85390d04e981887cc96736dae28876fed9
Chris Richardson
polymarket · 0x2b339c01becc3f9851d4b24203f0606bb602373dbdaa8800d1d7e551f97f22c7
Lyndon Cervantes
polymarket · 0x92a88eeaf3ac02b38a824b466179c688f737dcfa8da80e3809d8b7749f1028fb
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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