Claude Keissieh · CA-40 Primary Winners
Claude Keissieh is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 2¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 8 inside CA-40 Primary Winners.
Price history
2¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 40th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Claude Keissieh
Rank
#7 of 8
Leader
Young Kim 75¢
Range
1¢-75¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
0xc14e9e3c...0911
May 26, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
2¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$220
Family rank
#7 of 8
8 outcomes · CA-40 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 2¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 40th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0xc14e9e3c…0911
Event family
CA-40 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Young Kim 75¢
Current share
4%
Young Kim
polymarket · 0x62deb9a8d72e40a658dbe8e04e3937647d29b2866e1c07737aee5641bae90c92
Ken Calvert
polymarket · 0xc887e917c9fe2acfc563546d5a2f8f3e5070025891c85d843f470f0a1ead1aa3
Esther Kim Varet
polymarket · 0xf3874f9f010cc3d6f92d7d696dc135f6adb982c61bdf627a70375301ca849940
Joe Kerr
polymarket · 0xd132480d5ca9cef067ead40db4b5c1eb6b069365eca97cfe25ce16eb7e3a18b6
Nina Linh
polymarket · 0xf1c38cfd4fe8cdceee732f3fc1d69a241925f23027ce9a7f144bcb53ab16c83e
Lisa Ramirez
polymarket · 0xd1027b7ac28a62245461d4df2f41673c421747506404b43afa6ab1bf57f6e1d7
Claude Keissieh
polymarket · 0xc14e9e3c85790585cd24593d1b150e3f225f8663fa7542139d79c602f6cc0911
Francis Hoffman
polymarket · 0x06816ac46464071f72d3d782c6c5bd2ada0d4ec3de48280c8e346b8a7080a497
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
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