Linda Sánchez · CA-41 Primary Winners
Linda Sánchez is priced at 96¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 94¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 4 inside CA-41 Primary Winners.
Price history
96¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Linda Sánchez
Rank
#1 of 4
Leader
Linda Sánchez 96¢
Range
5¢-96¢
Family volume
$5K
Identifier
0xa52792b5...0bf7
May 29, 2026, 11:08 PM UTC · 14m ago
Implied probability
Bid
94¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$80
Family rank
#1 of 4
4 outcomes · CA-41 Primary Winners
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$5K
Orderbook snapshot
94 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 41th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0xa52792b5…0bf7
Event family
CA-41 Primary Winners.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$5K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Linda Sánchez 96¢
Current share
62%
Linda Sánchez
polymarket · 0xa52792b5a97934995dfa19494c62894434524484236627d884e6f54cb6560bf7
Mitch Clemmons
polymarket · 0xaee825039d21b4eb6699445f388ec6a3f8a8e6ee18f08fc9485e73ec9c293f8e
Hector De La Torre
polymarket · 0x1f13b05cb58a6cba3a829bec71a9dbe7dc3749a9945389b03197bf02af65da32
Shonique Williams
polymarket · 0xe9005f1c09b78bbe9a5c871122217fed14f1a857a17ab5d3afddbe6860525053
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.