Will CA Nacional Potosí vs. GV CD San José end in a draw?

This market shows severe illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $172k open interest and an extreme 51¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting the 33¢ price may not reflect true consensus. The astronomical 13,312% implied yield on the Yes side combined with 803% realized volatility and a Cliff Risk Index of 2 indicates this is likely a stale or trapped position rather than an actively traded contract. With only 6 days to expiry and the match scheduled for April 25, 2026, the lack of recent price discovery (down from 37¢ seven days ago) warrants caution—this appears to be a low-conviction, illiquid market where the quoted price may diverge significantly from actual match probability once trading resumes.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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