SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 31, 2026237 days left

Cannes Award for Palme d’Or?

This contract is priced at 17¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 17¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

17¢
$1K volume
$1K liquidity
210% of event volume

Event outcomes

14

Family volume

$710

Best sibling

Hope 16¢

Ticker

KXCANNESPALMEDOR-26-PAP

Market snapshot

Paper Tiger in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Cannes Award for Palme d’Or?. The displayed quote is 17¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $454. In the Cannes Award for Palme d’Or family, this outcome ranks #2 of 14 by current quote across 14 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Paper Tiger

Family rank

#2 of 14

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

17¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 31, 2026

24h volume

$454

Family context

14 outcomes · Cannes Award for Palme d’Or

Quote range

1¢-16¢

Family leader

Hope 16¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 2:53 AM UTC · 13m ago

Venue identifier: KXCANNESPALMEDOR-26-PAP. Family volume: $710.

Price history

17¢ current

+13¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 23, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 17¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
11¢32
10¢125
9¢250
4¢48
3¢281
AskSize
17¢101
18¢125
20¢250
66¢47
67¢840

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Paper Tiger wins the Palme d’Or at the 2026 Cannes film festival, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 31, 2026

Identifier

KXCANNESPALMEDOR-26-PAP

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1248.7%

IY (No)

19.1%

Adj IY

284%

CRI

8

Overround

-0.3%

LAS

0.55

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1248.7%
19.1%
Adj IY
284%
8
Overround
-0.3%
LAS
0.55

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