The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 7, 2025, and the ceremony for February 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person who wins Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose last name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.
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| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
Olivia Dean | 70.7% |
Leon Thomas | 20.5% |
Alex Warren | 3.2% |
Sombr | 2.6% |
Addison Rae | 2.4% |
Lola Young | 1.1% |
The Marías | 1.1% |
KATSEYE | 0.7% |
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MJ Lenderman | 0.0% |
Zach Top | 0.0% |
Ravyn Lenae | 0.0% |
beabadoobee | 0.0% |
Megan Moroney | 0.0% |
Sleep Token | 0.0% |
Ella Langley | 0.0% |
Rachel Chinouriri | 0.0% |
PinkPantheress | 0.0% |
MK.gee | 0.0% |
Role Model | 0.0% |
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| 7.0% |
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Kalshi | 6.0% | $4,823 | Trade |
Kalshi | 89.0% | $17,332 | Trade |