SimpleFunctions

Will Marcelo Rozo finish top 10 in Round 3 for Charles Schwab Challenge

Marcelo Rozo is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 11¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

4¢ current

+2¢
0¢5¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Marcelo Rozo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Marcelo Rozo

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Sahith Theegala 43¢

Range

4¢-43¢

Family volume

$63

Identifier

KXPGAR3TOP10-CHSC26-MROZ

May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Implied probability

4¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 14m ago

Bid

Ask

11¢

Spread

11¢

24h volume

$1

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$63

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 11¢

Kalshi
11¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
11¢150
12¢1
79¢9
80¢50
85¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Marcelo Rozo finishes in the top 10 (including ties) after the first 3 rounds of the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGAR3TOP10-CHSC26-MROZ

SF Signal
SF Index
29124.28
Regime
neutral

Event family

Charles Schwab Challenge.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$63

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Sahith Theegala 43¢

Current share

2%

Browse this series

PGA Championship Round-Leader Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGAR series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

29124.3%

IY (No)

50.6%

Adj IY

29124%

CRI

24

RV

4042%

VR

1.44

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

29124.3%
50.6%
Adj IY
29124%
24
RV
4042%
VR
1.44
IAR
0.8/h
Overround
-0.3%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.