SimpleFunctions

Will Ryo Hisatsune finish top 20 for Charles Schwab Challenge

Ryo Hisatsune is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 45¢ bid, 49¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside Charles Schwab Challenge.

Price history

50¢ current

+25¢
25¢50¢
May 25, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Ryo Hisatsune

Rank

#5 of 16

Leader

Russell Henley 63¢

Range

1¢-63¢

Family volume

$227K

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-RHIS

May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:08 PM UTC · 10m ago

Bid

45¢

Ask

49¢

Spread

24h volume

$7K

Family rank

#5 of 16

16 outcomes · Charles Schwab Challenge

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Family volume

$227K

Orderbook snapshot

45 / 49¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
45¢205
39¢1.1K
28¢2
7¢147
AskSize
49¢205
56¢5.2K
57¢7.7K
67¢25
69¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Ryo Hisatsune finishes in the top 20 (including ties) in the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 28, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOP20-CHSC26-RHIS

SF Signal
SF Index
1112.63
Regime
neutral

Browse this series

PGA Championship Top-N Finish Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXPGATOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1668.9%

IY (No)

875.1%

Adj IY

1113%

CRI

1

RV

1066%

VR

2.02

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1668.9%
875.1%
Adj IY
1113%
1
RV
1066%
VR
2.02
IAR
1.1/h
Overround
23.7%
LAS
0.33

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.