SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Charleston vs Detroit City FC

Tie is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 26¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Charleston vs Detroit City FC Winner.

Price history

27¢ current

+5¢
20¢30¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie wins the Charleston vs Detroit City FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Charleston 52¢

Range

19¢-52¢

Family volume

$132

Identifier

KXUSLGAME-26MAY30CHADET-TIE

May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1m ago

Bid

26¢

Ask

27¢

Spread

24h volume

$95

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Charleston vs Detroit City FC Winner

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Family volume

$132

Orderbook snapshot

26 / 27¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
26¢277
25¢2.4K
24¢992
23¢2.4K
22¢1.0K
AskSize
27¢84
28¢2.0K
29¢2.4K
30¢402
31¢402

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie wins the Charleston vs Detroit City FC professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 13, 2026

Identifier

KXUSLGAME-26MAY30CHADET-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
6428.11
Regime
neutral

Event family

Charleston vs Detroit City FC Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$132

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Charleston 52¢

Current share

72%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6428.1%

IY (No)

793.5%

Adj IY

6428%

CRI

3

RV

276%

VR

0.31

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6428.1%
793.5%
Adj IY
6428%
3
RV
276%
VR
0.31
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
-0.0%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Conceptmethodology

Maker / Taker Regime in Prediction Markets: How to Read the Orderbook State

Three regime states (maker-dominated, taker-dominated, neutral) and how to read which one a Kalshi or Polymarket contract is in. Strategy follows regime, not thesis.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.