SimpleFunctions

Chicago C to win Chicago C vs St. Louis

Chicago C is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 59¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner.

Price history

58¢ current

+26¢
50¢
May 27, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Chicago C

Rank

#1 of 2

Leader

Chicago C 55¢

Range

42¢-55¢

Family volume

$127

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY301915CHCSTL-CHC

May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

58¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:08 PM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

55¢

Ask

59¢

Spread

24h volume

$27

Family rank

#1 of 2

2 outcomes · Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Family volume

$127

Orderbook snapshot

55 / 59¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
55¢305
54¢1
53¢244
52¢122
51¢25
AskSize
59¢366
61¢244
62¢5
68¢1.5K
69¢500

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Chicago C wins the Chicago C vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 2, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBGAME-26MAY301915CHCSTL-CHC

SF Signal
SF Index
4383.95
Regime
neutral

Event family

Chicago C vs St. Louis Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$127

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Chicago C 55¢

Current share

21%

Browse this series

MLB Game Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLBGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.