SimpleFunctions

Sung Il-jong to win Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election

Sung Il-jong is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner.

Price history

0¢ current

50¢
0¢25¢50¢
Apr 28, 2026Apr 28, 2026

Contract brief

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Outcome

Sung Il-jong

Rank

#3 of 9

Leader

Park Soo-hyun 83¢

Range

0¢-83¢

Family volume

$1.7M

Identifier

0xca2676a0...414d

May 24, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

0¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 24, 2026, 6:02 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

24h volume

$155

Family rank

#3 of 9

9 outcomes · Chungcheongnam Province Governor Election Winner

Closes

Jun 3, 2026

Family volume

$1.7M

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 0¢

Polymarket
0¢ spread
BidSize
0¢34K
AskSize
0¢200
0¢21K
2¢30
2¢80
3¢30
8¢8
100¢210
100¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jun 3, 2026

Identifier

0xca2676a0…414d

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

political

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.