Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?

Prediction markets currently give a 91% probability that Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?. This contract trades at 91¢ on Polymarket, closing June 3, 2026.

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91¢
Bid/Ask 90/92¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $735.613·OI $25,472.066·Closes Jun 3, 2026·42d remaining
0x2d39bdc79bfe44548bada0e5c63f5b3d0c5a0a18d5df209df2f19400c6a32674
7-day price467 snapshots · 41 regime
92¢91¢ current
Apr 811¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

The Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in South Korea on June 3, 2026 to elect the next governor of Chungcheongnam Province. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).

Indicators

IY (Yes) 85.7%
IY (No) 8766.6%
Adj IY 4383%
CRI 10
Overround -0.0%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)85.7%
IY (No)8766.6%
Adj IY4383%
CRI10
Overround-0.0%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:51:09 PM
Observability mediumEvent type political
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0x2d39bdc79bfe44548bada0e5c63f5b3d0c5a0a18d5df209df2f19400c6a32674 yes 100

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