What is the current probability for "Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 46¢ (46% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on May 31, 2026. 29 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1454.3% and 1055.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Polymarket, closing May 31, 2026.

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46¢

Bid/Ask 2/90¢·Spread 88¢·Vol $0·OI $45.335·Closes May 31, 2026·29d remaining

0x0ad58146bdd9f58ad5c6e3a942cbae968d9adc8ad3f88247e6aa0faf93bc3b17

7-day price1001 snapshots · 11 regime

53¢46¢ current

Apr 2130¢May 1

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) is banned from Kick by the listed date, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Official announcements from Kick that Clavicular will be banned will qualify regardless of whether the ban has gone into effect. Temporary bans will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be Kick.com (e.g., https://kick.com/clavicular), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1454.3%

IY (No) 1055.3%

Adj IY 0%

CRI 1

LAS 1.91

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1454.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	1055.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	0%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
LAS	1.91	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

5/1/2026, 1:01:48 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 12:53:38 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x0ad58146bdd9f58ad5c6e3a942cbae968d9adc8ad3f88247e6aa0faf93bc3b17 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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