Spread: CD Garcilaso (-2.5)

This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with zero 24-hour volume and only $150.57 in open interest, trading at 13¢ despite a massive 68,886% implied yield on the Yes side—a red flag indicating the price likely reflects minimal real conviction rather than genuine probability assessment. The market has experienced extreme volatility (4,460% realized vol) with the price declining from 17¢ to 13¢ over seven days, and with just 4 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 7, any late information about team lineups or conditions could trigger sharp repricing. The 14¢ bid-ask spread represents over 100% of the current price, making this essentially untradeable for most participants.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for April 22 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Garcilaso" if CD Garcilaso win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club Universitario de Deportes". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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