Christopher Oldfield to win CO-01 Democratic Primary
Christopher Oldfield is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 7 inside CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Outcome
Christopher Oldfield
Rank
#4 of 7
Leader
Diana DeGette 56¢
Range
0¢-56¢
Family volume
$8K
Identifier
0x0e124a4f...a106
May 27, 2026, 5:22 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$565
Family rank
#4 of 7
7 outcomes · CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Family volume
$8K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0x0e124a4f…a106
Event family
CO-01 Democratic Primary Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$8K
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Diana DeGette 56¢
Current share
7%
Diana DeGette
polymarket · 0x24027d1eae340ad8e656fd3070b53052792009d08a18268029cd8320b6b07404
Melat Kiros
polymarket · 0x80026e4a0a2aad15549a47671a54aa95afc86325c60481ca11c500025f68b926
Santiago Palomino
polymarket · 0x433304caffd27e2d3e222240ea2e73c9265b80d5fd600f5f113bac1e5d25efbf
Christopher Oldfield
polymarket · 0x0e124a4ff068fef9d5ac76a70c3ea4c9de0df4869e0fddfae704d298a326a106
Wanda James
polymarket · 0x70f3ff96e0f6d96baa8fb6ff8828f1f758e31d08d97d941f49aca3d255c4e09f
Carter Hanson
polymarket · 0x60fcadf09745cab804655f0ddd13a520a130f5e83e12749596ace6221f84d14b
Tiffany Rodgers
polymarket · 0xad075e269da66b297101dd7ffe4c87ae01a7ce2cb62936be9f11228e66fa0777
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.