SimpleFunctions

Colombia to win Colombia vs Congo DR

Colombia is priced at 67¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 64¢ bid, 67¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Colombia vs Congo DR Winner.

Price history

67¢ current

+63¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢
May 22, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

If Colombia wins the Colombia vs Congo DR professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Colombia

Rank

#1 of 3

Leader

Colombia 64¢

Range

9¢-64¢

Family volume

$18

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN23COLCOD-COL

May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

67¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

64¢

Ask

67¢

Spread

24h volume

$18

Family rank

#1 of 3

3 outcomes · Colombia vs Congo DR Winner

Closes

Jul 8, 2026

Family volume

$18

Orderbook snapshot

64 / 67¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
64¢5
63¢1.1K
62¢2.4K
61¢798
60¢2.0K
AskSize
67¢658
68¢1.7K
69¢1.3K
70¢2.8K
71¢1.5K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Colombia wins the Colombia vs Congo DR professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 8, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGAME-26JUN23COLCOD-COL

SF Signal
SF Index
1544.30
Regime
neutral

Event family

Colombia vs Congo DR Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$18

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Colombia 64¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

2026 FIFA World Cup Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXWCGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

532.7%

IY (No)

1544.3%

Adj IY

1544%

CRI

2

RV

1113%

VR

3.43

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

532.7%
1544.3%
Adj IY
1544%
2
RV
1113%
VR
3.43
IAR
0.7/h
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.